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Electrification Futures Study Load Profiles

Published by National Renewable Energy Laboratory | Department of Energy | Metadata Last Checked: August 03, 2025 | Last Modified: 2024-12-18T17:36:27Z
This data set includes hourly load profiles developed for the Electrification Futures Study (EFS). The load profiles represent projected end-use electricity demand for various scenarios of electrification (Reference, Medium, High) and technology advancement (Slow, Moderate, Rapid), developed using the EnergyPATHWAYS (EP) model, as described in Mai et al. (2018). The EP load profiles were further calibrated for use in the ReEDS capacity expansion model (detailed in forthcoming EFS analyses), thus numerical values in this data set differ slightly from those reported in Mai et al. (2018). Load profiles are provided for a subset of years (2018, 2020, 2024, 2030, 2040, 2050) and are aggregated to the state, sector, and select subsector level. NOTE: Due to the file size, Mac users may experience issues decompressing the zip files using the Mac Archive Utility. In those cases, decompressing using the command line is recommended. Mai, Trieu, Paige Jadun, Jeffrey Logan, Colin McMillan, Matteo Muratori, Daniel Steinberg, Laura Vimmerstedt, Ryan Jones, Benjamin Haley, and Brent Nelson. 2018. Electrification Futures Study: Scenarios of Electric Technology Adoption and Power Consumption for the United States. National Renewable Energy Laboratory. NREL/TP-6A20-71500. https://doi.org/10.2172/1459351.

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