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FINAL – Food and Water Requirements Model Results

Published by U.S. Geological Survey | Department of the Interior | Metadata Last Checked: January 27, 2026 | Last Modified: 2023-02-23T00:00:00Z
This is the FINAL shapefile of results from practical application of a simplified, deterministic model of initial resource requirements in disaster response, connected with the publication, "A Conceptual Framework for Estimation of Initial Emergency Food and Water Resource Requirements in Disasters" (Toland, J., Wein, A., Wu, A. and Spearing, L, 2023). The model offers a quantitative, comprehensive description of an application within the geophysical hazard context of the “ShakeOut” scenario—a major Mw7.8 earthquake on California’s San Andreas Fault, occurring within the Los Angeles Basin, CA (USA) region. Using the framework as a guide, we illustrate model results that estimate that 999,027 households (2,947,130 residents) will require initial emergency food and water resource requirements (about 3 days after the event). Estimates include 6 million meals and 9 million liters of water, concentrated in Lancaster-Palmdale, El Monte-Baldwin Park, East Los Angeles-Downey in Los Angeles County, the Coachella Valley (Riverside County) and in populated areas of San Bernardino County.

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