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ICLUS v2.1 land use projections for the Fourth National Climate Assessment (SSP5)

Published by U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research and Development-National Center for Environmental Assessment | U.S. Environmental Protection Agency | Metadata Last Checked: January 27, 2026 | Last Modified: 2018-02-28T00:00:00.000+00:00
The SSP5 narrative describes a rapidly growing and flourishing global economy that remains heavily dependent on fossil fuels, and a U.S. population that exceeds 730 million by 2100. ICLUS v2.1 land use projections under SSP5 result in a considerably larger expansion of developed lands relative to SSP2. This version of the ICLUS model does not include climate change projections to dynamically update location-specific amenities when calculating migration. These projections will include the “nocc” label in the file name to indicate this difference.

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