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Probability Model Outputs: National Assessment of Nor'easter-Induced Coastal Erosion Hazards: Mid- and Northeast Atlantic Coast (Polyline Shapefile)

Published by U.S. Geological Survey | Department of the Interior | Metadata Last Checked: January 27, 2026 | Last Modified: 2020-10-13T00:00:00Z
These datasets contain information on the probabilities of nor'easter-induced erosion (collision, overwash and inundation) for each 1-km section of the Mid- and Northeast Atlantic coast, from North Carolina through Maine, for class 1-3 nor'easters. The analysis is based on a storm-impact scaling model that uses observations of beach morphology combined with sophisticated hydrodynamic models to predict how the coast will respond to the direct impact of class 1-3 nor'easters. Nor'easter-induced water levels, due to both surge and waves, are compared to beach and dune elevations to determine the probabilities of three types of coastal change: collision (dune erosion), overwash, and inundation. Data on dune morphology (dune crest and toe elevation) and hydrodynamics (storm surge, wave setup and runup) are also included in this dataset. As new beach morphology observations and storm predictions become available, this analysis will be updated to describe how coastal vulnerability to storms will vary in the future. The data presented here include dune morphology observations, as derived from lidar surveys taken between May and July 2010 and in November 2012.

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