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State Class Rasters (Land Use and Land Cover per Year and Scenario)

Published by U.S. Geological Survey | Department of the Interior | Metadata Last Checked: January 27, 2026 | Last Modified: 2021-07-02T00:00:00Z
This dataset consists of raster geotiff outputs of annual map projections of land use and land cover for the California Central Valley for the period 2011-2101 across 5 future scenarios. Four of the scenarios were developed as part of the Central Valley Landscape Conservation Project. The 4 original scenarios include a Bad-Business-As-Usual (BBAU; high water availability, poor management), California Dreamin’ (DREAM; high water availability, good management), Central Valley Dustbowl (DUST; low water availability, poor management), and Everyone Equally Miserable (EEM; low water availability, good management). These scenarios represent alternative plausible futures, capturing a range of climate variability, land management activities, and habitat restoration goals. We parameterized our models based on close interpretation of these four scenario narratives to best reflect stakeholder interests, adding a baseline Historical Business-As-Usual scenario (HBAU) for comparison. For these future map projections, the model was initialized in 2011 and run forward on an annual time step to 2101. Each filename has the associated scenario ID (scn418 = DUST, scn419 = DREAM, scn420 = HBAU, scn421 = BBAU, and scn426 = EEM), State Class identification as “sc”, model iteration (= it1 in all cases as only 1 Monte Carlo simulation was modeled), and timestep as “ts” information embedded in the file naming convention. For example, the filename scn418.sc.it1.ts2027.tif represents the DUST scenario (scn418), state class information (sc), iteration 1 (it1), for the 2027 model year (ts2027). The full methods and results of this research are described in detail in the parent manuscript "Integrated modeling of climate, land use, and water availability scenarios and their impacts on managed wetland habitat: A case study from California’s Central Valley" (2021).

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