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Tidal wetland elevation projections for five San Francisco Bay Delta regions using WARMER-2, 2000-2100

Published by U.S. Geological Survey | Department of the Interior | Metadata Last Checked: January 27, 2026 | Last Modified: 2021-11-16T00:00:00Z
Projections of marsh elevation change with WARMER-2 across five regions of the San Francisco Bay Delta (Cache Yolo, South Delta, North Delta, Central Delta, and Suisun). The model was run across a range of initial elevations for each region and for scenarios of sea-level rise (30, 61, 91, 122, 152, 183, 305 cm by 2100), sediment availability (historic, constant, declining, and increase), and with and without a temporally dynamic tidal range. Results from the Delta Simulation Model 2 hydrodynamic model were used to calculate rates of tide range increase with sea-level rise. WARMER-2 was calibrated using soil cores from Callaway et al 2012 (Rush Ranch and Browns Island cores), and a soil core from Miners Slough.

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